**Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, accurate as of 1:50 p.m. ET 12/4/19**
Chicago Bears and Dallas Cowboys UNDER 43 points (-115)
If the Bears score more than 17 points here, you’ll have to just tip your cap and move on. Even with their subtle resurgence and the defensive faults of the Cowboys, though, it’s tough to imagine a scenario in which Chicago is responsible for floating this total over. As I touched on the previous bet, Matt Nagy’s team is averaging an additional 49.5 yards of total offense over their last three games but still scoring just 16.7 points per game on average. In home games, that figure drops to 16.5 points, the second-lowest total in the NFL. The Bears defense, meanwhile, is allowing the league’s third-fewest points per home game total with 16 and has allowed an average of 17 points per game over their last three contests. With Dallas scoring just 19.7 points over their last three and 24 points on the road, it’s hard to bank on an offensive explosion for Dak Prescott and Co. against a defense still playing at an exceptionally high level.
In the Cowboys’ last 10 road games as a favorite of three points or less, the under is 8-2 and 10-4 following their last 14 double-digit home losses. For Chicago, the total has stayed under in its last five games has a home underdog and is 8-3 when the team’s an underdog of three or fewer points at home. With the present state of these two teams, don’t be surprised if defense owns the night.
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