Mike Trout Projected Career Stats

Let’s lay down a few of the specifications that allow us to come up with the numbers we did for each season:

The 2020, 2021 and 2022 seasons will be treated as Trout’s “prime years.” These calculations are based off of the rough average season stats Trout has accumulated from 2016 through 2019, and extrapolated to an average of 155 games played.

For each year after 2022, regression will be factored into his post-peak numbers, and numbers will be calculated at an average of 150 games played per season.

The negative percentage you’ll see next to his age will be the percentage by which his production will drop across all stat categories from the year before to help properly account for the traditional fall-off players face as they get older.

While it’s an inexact science and can’t properly account for either injuries or sustained late career successes a la Barry Bonds, Chipper Jones and Frank Thomas, this gives us a more accurate projection of what Trout’s numbers could look like with a ballplayer’s traditional bell curve of career productivity. But as we all know, Trout is anything but your traditional ballplayer.

Without further ado, let’s check out the projected career stats of Mike Trout!

Mike Trout Projected Future Season-by-Season Stats

2019 (age 27): 110 runs / 137 hits / 27 doubles / 2 triples / 45 HRs / 104 RBIs / 11 SB / 8.3 WAR

2020 (age 28): 126 runs / 174 hits / 33 doubles / 5 triples / 42 HRs / 104 RBIs / 15 SB / 9.9 WAR

2021 (age 29): 126 runs / 174 hits / 33 doubles / 5 triples / 42 HRs / 104 RBIs / 15 SB / 9.9 WAR

2022 (age 30): 126 runs / 174 hits / 33 doubles / 5 triples / 42 HRs / 104 RBIs / 14 SB / 9.9 WAR

2023 (age 31, -2%): 120 runs / 161 hits / 31 doubles / 5 triples / 40 HRs / 102 RBIs / 14 SB / 9.7 WAR

2024 (age 32, -3%): 116 runs / 156 hits / 30 doubles / 5 triples / 39 HRs / 99 RBIs / 13 SB / 9.4 WAR

2025 (age 33, -4%): 112 runs / 150 hits / 29 doubles / 5 triples / 37 HRs / 95 RBIs / 12 SB / 9.0 WAR

2026 (age 34, -5%): 106 runs / 142 hits / 27 doubles / 4 triples / 35 HRs / 90 RBIs / 12 SB / 8.6 WAR

2027 (age 35, -7%): 99 runs / 132 hits / 26 doubles / 4 triples / 33 HRs / 84 RBIs / 11 SB / 8.0 WAR

2028 (age 36, -9%): 90 runs / 121 hits / 23 doubles / 4 triples / 30 HRs / 76 RBIs / 10 SB / 7.3 WAR

2029 (age 37, -11%): 80 runs / 107 hits / 21 doubles / 3 triples / 27 HRs / 68 RBIs / 9 SB / 6.5 WAR

2030 (age 38, -15%): 68 runs / 91 hits / 18 doubles / 3 triples / 23 HRs / 58 RBIs / 8 SB / 5.5 WAR

So, what do Trout’s career numbers look like after 20 seasons in baseball?


Click ahead to Page 3 to see where Trout’s numbers rank among baseball’s all-time greats.

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