This weekend marks the start of the 2019 FedEx Cup Playoffs, as the top players on the PGA Tour head to Liberty National Golf Club for the Northern Trust. Eighth-ranked golfer in the world, Bryson DeChambeau enters as the defending champion, while No. 1-ranked golfer Brooks Koepka looks to build on his win at St. Jude a couple weeks ago. Koepka has the best odds to win the tournament, but he’s finished top-15 just once in the last two years following a win in his previous start. Two players I’m looking at this weekend happen to share the same name. Justin Thomas and Justin Rose are ranked inside the top-10 in the World Golf Rankings and are entering the playoff race in the top-16 in the FedEx Cup standings.
Koepka also leads the FedEx Cup race, as he’s been on fire all season. In fact, he finished in the top-5 in all four majors. Rory McIlroy is currently in second with two wins and 12 top-10 finishes in 2019. Justin Rose is currently in tenth and would need to go on an incredible run to claim the title, but that doesn’t negate the fact that his game is a solid match for this weekend’s course.
For more information on my best bets, as well as my longshot pick for this weekend, continue reading my 2019 Northern Trust betting preview.
Justin Thomas (+1800)
People quickly forget that this man just won the FedEx Cup title two years ago at the age of 24. In all fairness, JT has yet to win on Tour this season, so it’s understandable why bettors would be hesitant to bet on him winning at Liberty National. With that being said, Thomas is rounding into form down the stretch, finishing in the top-12 in three straight tournaments in July.
The ninth-ranked golfer in the world is just 17th in the FedEx Cup standings this year. He started the season hot, finishing inside the top-12 six times in his first eight tournaments of the season, including four top-5 finishes during that span. Aside from finishing T12 at the 2019 Masters, he hasn’t done much since. It’s been a solid season, but a winless record is below Thomas’ standard.
Thomas ranks 11th in greens in regulation and first in birdie average on the PGA Tour, so he’s not some slouch that would be a giant risk to bet on. In addition, Thomas has had plenty of success at Liberty National, going 3-1-1 at the 2017 Presidents Cup.
Click to Page 2 for one of my favorite picks and a longshot.