The NBA is down to the Conference Finals which means we’ll have one game on the docket for Wednesday. As we look to fill out our NBA DFS lineups on DraftKings, which studs and value plays should be our top targets from Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals? Read on as we give you our Showdown strategy for Raptors/Bucks, Captain’s picks and DFS value picks in our May 15 NBA DFS picks.
Looking to bet on tonight’s hoops action? Then click here for our May 15th NBA Playoffs betting rundown.
*All dollar values according to DraftKings as of 5/15/19
UTIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs. TOR, $17,400
With at least 49 DKFP in all three games against the Raptors this year, rolling with the potential league MVP as our captain is a no-brainer tonight. He’s well-rested (Bucks haven’t played since last Wednesday), and he erupted for 73.50 DKFP in his only home game against Milwaukee this season. Giannis has delivered at least 69 DKFP in two of his last three playoff games, and his ability to completely stuff the stat sheet makes him a must-start play every night. With Toronto being pushed to seven games in their last series against Philly, the combo of rest vs. tired legs and overall skill makes Giannis an outstanding choice as Captain for Wednesday.
UTIL: Kawhi Leonard, TOR @ MIL, $11,400
Needing four bounces to solidify his legacy in Raptors basketball lore, Kawhi Leonard joins our lineup today as the second-highest salaried player on DraftKings. Leonard’s been on a historic scoring run in the playoffs and that’s led to some ridiculous returns for his DFS backers. He’s been above the 5x ROI threshold in each of his last four games and seven of his last eight overall. Further, he’s averaged just under 59 DKFP in Toronto’s last two road games and just under 54 DKFP in his last four games away from home. Going against Kawhi would feel wrong, and we don’t want to risk that tonight in a match-up with Giannis that has our mouths watering.
UTIL: Pascal Siakam, TOR @ MIL, $8,400
Even though he has been struggling mightily with his shot (under 39% in his last six games), Pascal Siakam still holds tons of value tonight as the night’s No. 4 salaried player. He’s the clear-cut second option for the Raptors and holds double-double potential on a nightly basis. He’s got range that extends beyond the three-point line and contributes a lot defensively as well (at least two steals in four straight games and five of his last six). He had been a pretty reliable source of 20 points during the playoffs despite his shooting woes but holds too much value for us too pass up on him at $8,400 in Game 1.
UTIL: Malcolm Brogdon, MIL vs. TOR, $6,000
Having missed nearly two months with a foot injury, Malcolm Brogdon made his return to action in Milwaukee’s series-clinching Game 5 win last Wednesday, going for 22.25 DKFP and 5.1x ROI in their win against the Celtics. He only played 17 minutes but was his usual efficient self, contributing 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting to go along with 4 assists, 3 rebounds and a block. Although it seems likely he’ll come off the bench, he’s set to receive more minutes in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. One of only eight players in NBA history to ever join the 50/40/90 club (which he did this season), we’re all in on this high-risk, high-reward play for Brogdon in only his second game played in two months’ time.
UTIL: Pat Connaughton, MIL vs. TOR, $3,800
With a bevvy of good DFS games that have gone in our favor, Pat Connaughton has become the homie here for us at Betsology. Delivering more than his fair share of big value nights for us on numerous occasions this season, we’re firing up the versatile Connaughton with visions of more heavy value out of him tonight in Game 1. He’s been an absolute ROI beast at home during the playoffs, returning at least 6x value in four of Milwaukee’s five home playoff games. The last time we took him, he erupted for 42.75 DKFP and 11x ROI (both are still personal playoff highs) in Game 2 against Detroit in the opening round. He’s averaging more than 6.8x value in his last four games and has returned an average of 6.56x value in his five home games, making him an excellent lower-end play tonight.
UTIL: Ersan Ilyasova, MIL vs. TOR, $2,800
One of the Bucks’ most consistent value returners during these playoffs? Look no further than Ersan Ilyasova. The Turkish big man has delivered at least 22 DKFP in each of his last two games (which against a $2,800 salary would net some nifty returns) and has been above the 5x value threshold in seven of his last eight playoff games in total. His minutes usually sit anywhere between 17 and 20 minutes but is a capable scorer and rebounder in limited minutes. He’s even been able to facilitate quite nicely and even contribute the occasional block and steal. As the seventh-cheapest player on the board tonight, Ilyasova is a wonderful choice to round out our Showdown lineup.
Team total: $49,800
Three Stars from Tuesday
Steph Curry ($10,400/60 DKFP/5.77x value) – We had said to watch out for one of those patented Steph shooting eruptions in Game 1 and boy did we ever get it. Curry matched his playoff career high after drilling nine 3-pointers in Golden State’s Game 1 win, finishing with 36 points, 7 assists, 6 boards and a steal. All told his 60 DKFP led all scorers by a wide margin and gave our lineup a major boost.
Klay Thompson ($12,600/63.38 DKFP/5.03x value) – Elected as our captain for Tuesday’s Showdown Mode lineup, Klay Thompson finished as the No. 2 scorer on DraftKings with 42.25 DKFP (which equates to 63.38 DKFP with the 1.5x multiplier). He hit for a third straight game of at least 25 points, winding up with 26 points, three assists and one rebound in the 22-point win. However, we got a huge boost from his defense, as Klay added three steals and two swats in the win. Not too shabby of a value performance from our captain.
Enes Kanter ($4,400/36 DKFP/8.18x value) – With Curry, Thompson, Draymond Green, Damian Lillard and Enes Kanter, our lineup boasted five of Tuesday’s top six scorers on DraftKings, with Kanter finishing with the fourth-most DKFP of all players. Kanter logged his fifth double-double of the playoffs, grabbing a game-high 16 rebounds to go along with his 10 points, 3 assists and 1 steal. No Blazer finished with more DKFP than Kanter, as he proved to be perhaps Tuesday’s premier value play.
Over/Under Total on FanDuel Sportsbook
*Total accurate as of 1:15 pm ET
217.5 – Portland Trail Blazers @ Golden State Warriors (9:00 pm ET)
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