It’s a pretty light day across Major League Baseball, as there are only seven games on the schedule for May 13th. Of course, there were plenty of fireworks and pink bats on Mother’s Day, but now it’s time to get back to the midseason grind. Check out our MLB betting rundown for the best bets of the night.
Philadelphia Phillies To WIN (-162) vs. Milwaukee Brewers
The Phillies have won four of five heading into tonight’s matchup, as they maintain a three-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East. On the other hand, Milwaukee has lost back-to-back games to the Cubs after rifling off a seven-game winning streak to climb back into contention in the NL Central. The Brewers are currently two games behind Chicago in the division. Tonight, there are two major factors to consider when betting this game. One, Philly is among the best home teams in the league. And two, Phillies ace Aaron Nola is starting to feel himself, as he returns to Cy Young form for the NL contenders. In fact, Nola got off to a rough start in 2019, as he watched his ERA skyrocket to 7.45 by his fourth start of the season. With that being said, he has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three starts, decreasing his ERA to 4.57 and bolstering his record to a perfect 3-0 on the season. In addition, Nola is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in five career starts against Milwaukee. The Phillies are 4-1 in those games. On the other side, manager Craig Counsell will hand the ball to Freddy Peralta, who owns a 6.75 ERA through five starts this season. As mentioned above, Philadelphia is among the best home teams in baseball, ranking fourth in home winning percentage at 66.7. On the flip side, Milwaukee is just 44.4 percent against the money line on the road this season. Consider taking Bryce Harper and company in this one.
Minnesota Twins To WIN (-148) vs. Los Angeles Angels
Despite splitting a four-game series with Tigers this past weekend, the Twins are still tied for the best record in the Majors. In fact, Minnesota has won 12 of their last 17 games and currently have a four-game lead over the Indians in the AL Central. On the other hand, the Angels can’t decide whether they are a contender or pretender this season, as they continue to flip-flop between losing and winning streaks that have kept them around .500. With that being said, they have seen the Mariners, A’s and Rangers all experience slides that have boosted them up to second place in the division. Unfortunately, they will have to deal with Jose Berrios tonight, who has been among the best pitchers in the league so far this year. Berrios is 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He currently ranks inside the top-6 in the AL in wins, innings pitched, ERA, WHIP and winning percentage. He is also coming off one of his best performances of the season, where he went seven innings and allowed no runs on four hits in a 3-0 win against Toronto. Furthermore, Berrios is 24-6 against the money line at home over the last three seasons. And while Minnesota has the sixth-best home record (13-7) in the league, the Angels own the sixth-worst road record (8-12) in baseball. Another important factor to consider is that this is the final series of an 11-game road trip that spanned four cities and covered more than 6,200 miles for the Angels. The team is exhausted and ready to get back to Cali, while Minnesota hopes to build on its division lead at home.
Cleveland Indians To WIN (-154) @ Chicago White Sox
Speaking of the division, the Indians have lost eight of their last 14 games, causing them to slide down the AL Central standings a bit during the Twins’ impressive run. After dropping a weekend series to the A’s, Cleveland is hoping to take advantage of a slumping White Sox team that has seen two separate 3-game losing streaks during their most recent ten-game stretch. In addition, the Indians certainly have the advantage on the mound tonight. Cleveland starter Shane Beiber is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the season, while Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez is just 2-4 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Furthermore, Beiber is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in three career starts against Chicago. On the flip side, Lopez is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.947 WHIP in four starts against Cleveland. The White Sox are 0-4 in those games. Finally, Chicago is 3-7 against the money line as a home underdog this season. In fact, they are just 8-10 overall at home this season.