We’ve got a half dozen games on the NBA’s Monday night schedule with tons of value to be had on DraftKings. As we fill out our NBA DFS lineups, which players are the best bets to be tonight’s top dogs in NBA DFS? We’ve got all of today’s best DFS value picks, stacks, pivots, and must-start plays in our March 11 NBA DFS picks.
*All dollar values according to DraftKings as of 3/11/19
Start ‘Em: De’Aaron Fox, SAC @ WAS, $7,300
In the top game to target players from on Monday night, we look to De’Aaron Fox to have a big night on the road in D.C. against the Wizards. Gifted the night’s highest point total on FanDuel by nearly a full 14 points, Fox registers as the day’s No. 8 salaried point guard. Washington gives up the seventh-most DKFP to opposing point guards in the NBA and Swipa’s coming off a 7x ROI, 49.75 DKFP game two nights back. He’s been over 5x value in his last four road games, and should be a solid play at the point tonight.
Value: Tomas Satoransky, WAS vs. SAC, $5,800
Sticking with that same Kings/Wiz game, Tomas Satoransky provides perhaps the best value for any PG-eligible player with a price tag under $6,000. He’s riding a useful five-game streak of 5x ROI returns or better and put up 44.50 DKFP (8.6x value) in his last home game five days ago. He logs tons of minutes, is capable of good rebounding numbers and has registered double-digit assists in three of his last six games… Satoransky is a savvy play on tonight’s slate.
Start ‘Em: D’Angelo Russell, BKN vs. DET, $8,000
The Nets and Pistons haven’t played each other since Halloween, but the last time they did, D’Angelo Russell was nowhere near the All-Star level player he is now. Despite only returning at least 5x value once in his last six games, getting DLo at an even eight grand still feels like a steal and a half. He’s returned at least 40 DKFP in three of his last five home games and Detroit isn’t exactly the toughest team for opposing PG/SGs to rack up DKFP on. If you don’t want to give a star like James Harden ($11,400) or Bradley Beal ($9,700) the loot tonight, Russell is an excellent alternative at the shooting guard position.
Value: Landry Shamet, LAC vs. BOS, $3,800
Remember when it felt like the Clippers were packing it in for the year by trading away Tobias Harris? Well here the Clippers are in the 8-spot out West and having their shiny new toy play some excellent minutes. Shamet’s shot the lights out in 11 games since joining the Clips, hitting nearly three 3-pointers per game on just shy of 46% shooting from deep. A heavy majority of his fantasy value comes from his shooting as his assist and rebound numbers are routinely low to non-existent. He’s gone for 5x value or better in three of his last four, and even dropped a 7.6x ROI night his last time against the Celtics on February 9th (his first game as a Clipper). If you’re in need of a risky under-$4k play at the SG spot tonight, Shamet is a good play.
Start ‘Em: Paul George, OKC @ UTA, $9,500
The highest-priced small forward offered on Monday night is Paul George. He enters off his worst DFS night of the year (23 DKFP, 2.4x value) as his second half shooting slump continues. However, the last time we backed PG13, he dropped 65 DKFP in a thrilling OT game in Portland. George has absolutely balled out in his last two match-ups with the Jazz (84 DKFP on December 22nd and 71.25 DKFP on February 22nd) and is a huge breakout candidate tonight at his lowest price tag in almost two months’ time.
Value: Marcus Morris, BOS @ LAC, $4,500
Rocking two straight games with at least 30 DKFP and 7x value returned, we’re looking to ride the hot hand in Marcus Morris as our value small forward play to start the week. Morris gets to take on a Clippers team that he dropped 28.50 DKFP on last month and has benefited from elevated minute totals of late. He’s put up 16 shots in each of the last two games and can contribute his fair share of boards and assists, making him a sound play at either forward spot in the mid-$4,000s.
Start ‘Em: Blake Griffin, DET @ BKN, $8,300
A match-up with the team that allows the most points to opposing bigs this year? Give us all of Blake Griffin tonight at $8,300 in that case! He’s being offered at his lowest salary since October 30th and enters tonight fresh off a 46 DKFP night on Sunday. He’s gone for at least 45 DKFP and 5x value in both of his match-ups with the Nets and he’s as high-usage and versatile as any big man in the league. If Dwane Casey doesn’t rest him, we love the value potential on BG tonight in BK.
Value: Harrison Barnes, SAC @ WAS, $5,200
If you took our advice on backing Harrison Barnes five days ago, then back to the well we both go! Barnes killed it against the Celtics, hitting for 41 DKFP and 7.9x value this past Wednesday. Now in a game with the night’s highest point total (by a wide margin), we’re optimistic for another game of high usage and high volume for the recently acquired forward. Keep riding Barnes (7.6x value or better in three of his last five) in the best game to target from tonight.
Start ‘Em: Clint Capela, HOU vs. CHA, $7,000
He’s the No. 6 center on the board tonight but Clint Caplea has perhaps the best value potential of any big on DraftKings. He gets tons of minutes for Mike D’Antoni’s team and is slated to get even more run if both Nene and Kenneth Faried ($4,800) are ruled out for tonight’s game against the Hornets. He’s been above 36 DKFP and 5x value in both of his last two games and should be on track for another rock solid performance tonight in H-town.
Value: Serge Ibaka, TOR @ CLE, $5,800
Oh boy, if Kawhi Leonard gets his usual rest along with Kyle Lowry, then Serge Ibaka becomes a must-start play as a mid-tier PF/C. He’s got three straight games above 5x ROI and has hit for at least 40 DKFP in two of his last three to boot. He went for 28.75 DKFP and 5.5x value to open the season against Cleveland and is a high-risk, high-reward play with major minutes upside tonight in Cleveland.
Highest Over/Under Totals on FanDuel Sportsbook:
*Totals accurate as of 12:00 pm ET
240 – Sacramento Kings vs. Washington Wizards (7:00 pm ET)
226.5 – Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz (10:00 pm ET)
226.5 – Boston Celtics vs. Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 pm ET)
224.5 – Charlotte Hornets vs. Houston Rockets (8:00 pm ET)
222 – Detroit Pistons vs. Brooklyn Nets (7:30 pm ET)
221.5 – Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (7:00 pm ET)
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