Heading into a seven-game hump day slate of NBA action, it’s just about time to set our NBA DFS lineups! With tons of star power set to take the floor, which players are looking to be Wednesday night’s top performers on DraftKings? We’ve nailed down all of the day’s best DFS value picks, stacks, and must-start plays in our 2/6/19 NBA DFS picks.
*All dollar values according to DraftKings as of 2/6/19
Start ‘Em: Kemba Walker, CHA @ DAL, $8,800
The All-Star starter checks in as the No. 5 salaried point guard on the board tonight but may have the highest ceiling of any PG not named James Harden. While the Hornets travel to Dallas on the second of a back-to-back, Walker’s been nasty his last two games. Going for 65 and 60.25 DKFP in his last two games has him entering tonight’s game in a great short spurt of form. We all know Kemba can score the rock (69 points in his last two games), but his 19 assists and ZERO turnovers the last two games are what really stand out here. Roll with Caridac Kemba in the Big D tonight.
Value: Jalen Brunson, DAL vs. CHA, $4,300
Sticking in the same game but on the other side of the floor, Jalen Brunson stands to keep seeing a major minutes uptick in the wake of Dennis Smith Jr. being dealt in the blockbuster Kristaps Porzingis trade. $4,300 is a pretty solid price for a guy who’s seen 33 minutes of action in each of the past two games. The two-time NCAA champ and reigning National College Player of the Year has delivered 5.7x and 6.7x ROI in his last two games, and should have an opportunity for another quality value night against a Hornets team on the second of a back-to-back.
Start ‘Em: James Harden, HOU @ SAC, $12,600
Now a -250 favorite to repeat as NBA MVP at BetOnline, James Harden can’t stop getting buckets (and free throws). Make it 27 straight games with at least 30 points for Harden, marking one of the single most dominant offensive stretches of play in league history. In a game with Bovada’s highest total of the night, watch out for Harden to be at his free-flowing and creative best tonight in Sactown. He’s gone for 86.50 and 72 DKFP in his last two games, and has been over 71 DKFP in four of his last five overall. He went for 56 DKFP in their only match-up with Sacramento back on November 17th, but this Harden is a different beast entirely. At this level of play, he’s worth any price.
Value: Jamal Crawford, PHX @ UTA, $3,600
With all-too-often injured stud Devin Booker out against the Jazz, watch out for Jamal Crawford to get way more run and an increased number of shot attempts tonight in Utah. With some of the smoothest handles in the league for the better part of nearly two decades, J-Crossover still knows how to create his own shot as well as any player in the league regardless of age. He’s always been a streaky shooter which makes for boom or bust DFS nights, but when the microwave’s cooking, he’s unconscious. He’s gone for ROI nights of 11x and 7.4x in his last three games (37.50 and 26 DKFP) and should be looked at as someone who could provide major value in a tough atmosphere tonight.
Start ‘Em: Kelly Oubre Jr., PHX @ UTA, $5,800
Oh yes, give me all of the Devin Booker-less Kelly Oubre experience tonight, baby. Oubre doesn’t struggle to get his shots up even with Book in the lineup, so he’s sure to see an increase in looks tonight. He’s hit for at least 5x ROI in seven of his last nine road games, and has the ability to impact the game with his scoring, rebounding, facilitating, and defending. He’s still yet to cross the $6,000 salary threshold, but after coming off a 38.25 DKFP night, he’s a solid guy to target tonight as the No. 8 small forward.
Value: Jeff Green, WAS @ MIL, $5,000
We made sure to tell you to go after Jeff Green on Monday and boy did that pay off. Green notched 42.75 DKFP for the second time in three games on Monday vs. the Hawks, thanks to a third straight 20-point game to go along with five boards and five assists. We love his role off the bench and the value he brings as a green-light (pardon the pun) scorer for the Wizards’ second unit. Green returned 6.6x value against these same Bucks only four days ago and has hit for exactly 31.25 DKFP in both of Washington’s match-ups with Milwaukee this season. Keep going back to the well with the vet who’s enjoying an outstanding run of play and has a match-up with past value success in his back pocket.
Start ‘Em: Lauri Markkanen, CHI vs. NO, $6,900
As the No. 5 power forward on the board tonight, we’re taking a bit of a risk here going with Markkanen over high-salaried superstars like Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400) and Kevin Durant ($9,300), but we love the match-up in store for Lauri. Nicely priced at $6,900, the second-year Finnish big man has been ballin’ out lately, returning a minimum of 5x value in each of his last six games (and eight of his last nine overall). Markkanen’s been north of 42 DKFP three times in his last four games, and has hit for at least 5x ROI in all four of his most recent home games. Even if Julius Randle ($7,700) comes back tonight for the Pels, they’re still lacking so much depth, let alone bigs who can defend a stretch seven-footer like Markkanen. He’s scoring and rebounding at will, and we feel tonight will be no different.
Value: Marvin Bagley III, SAC vs. HOU, $5,800
Speaking of hooping well lately, the Kings are finally unleashing Marvin Bagley III! Bagley’s been hooping hard at home over the start of their home stand, going for at least 33 DKFP and 6.4x value in each of their three games. Just two days ago, Bagley hit for a season-high 55 DKFP against the Spurs, his third game of 10x ROI or better this season. His minutes have ramped up like crazy into the 30s and against a Rockets team that plays up-tempo while still having injuries to key big men defenders like Clint Capela, we love Bagley’s value at $5,800 tonight at home.
Start ‘Em: Draymond Green, GSW vs. SAS, $6,300
With one of the league’s premier triple-double threats still being so enticingly priced, it’s going to be hard for us to say no to Dray today. Sure he’s only hit double-digit points once in his last 11 games, but that’s not where Green derives his DFS value. His facilitating has been off the charts, delivering at least seven assists in an incredible 14 straight games… not too bad of a bonus to get out of your center in your DFS lineup. Don’t forget his ability to have 10+ boards while also contributing blocks and steals… the man’s not even two years removed from being named Defensive Player of the Year. He’s gone for at least 6x value in three of his last four and a minimum of 5x value in six of his last eight, making him a quality play tonight at home in the low $6,000s.
Value: Mason Plumlee, DEN @ BKN, $4,400
Much like on Monday, us rolling with Mason Plumlee is again rather contingent on Paul Millsap ($4,900) being. After we tipped you off on rolling with Mason on Monday, we’re hoping lightning can strike twice and have him repeat his outstanding 9.8x ROI effort from two days ago (40.25 DKFP). Plumlee saw the floor for 33 minutes of action with Millsap out, nearly twice the amount of his normal PT with the former four-time All-Star in the rotation. Should Millsap be out, we love calling on Plumlee again against a Nets team that hasn’t been overly tough on big men in DFS in 2018-19.
Highest Over/Under Totals on Bovada
*Totals accurate as of 11:30 am ET
236 – Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (10:00 pm ET)
231 – San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors (10:30 pm ET)
230 – Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks (8:00 pm ET)
227 – New Orleans Pelicans @ Chicago Bulls (8:00 pm ET)
224 – Denver Nuggets @ Brooklyn Nets (7:30 pm ET)
220 – Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz (9:00 pm ET)
215 – Charlotte Hornets @ Dallas Mavericks (8:30 pm ET)
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