Fresh off a big Monday where we nailed two of the top value plays of the day in Jeff Green and Mason Plumlee, it’s time to keep the good NBA DFS momentum rolling into Tuesday. As we examine today’s player pool which is populated by an entertaining eight-game slate, which players are looking to be Tuesday night’s top performers on DraftKings? We’ve laid out all of the day’s best DFS value picks, stacks, and must-start plays in our 2/5/19 NBA DFS picks.
*All dollar values according to DraftKings as of 2/5/19
Start ‘Em: Darren Collison, IND vs. LAL, $6,400
Tuesday night’s No. 11 salaried point guard is one of the most sneaky efficient point guards in the NBA. The unfortunate benefactor to that scary Victor Oladipo injury, Collison has seen his usage rate rise, and with it, has delivered a number of solid value nights. He’s running on three straight games of at least 33 DKFP and 5.2x ROI, and has eclipsed the 5x value threshold in nine of his last 12 games. He’s in a good run of form and will be counted on to play a major role in tonight’s game against a Lakers team with LeBron James ($10,700) back in the lineup.
Value: Alec Burks, CLE vs. BOS, $5,100
At just a shade over five grand, Alec Burks is in for another night of 30+ minutes and high usage. Cleveland has been rumored to be trying to deal him elsewhere, so games like these provide quality showcase platforms for a guy in his precarious situation. Burks can score, board, and dish as well as any value guard on the board tonight, and should see his way into lots of lineups tonight even against a stingy Boston defense.
Start ‘Em: Jimmy Butler, PHI vs. TOR, $7,500
Despite only being salaried at $7,500, Butler is Tuesday night’s highest-priced shooting guard available. He and the Sixers are at home taking on the Raptors, a place where Philly has gone 21-5. Butler’s gone for 6.8x value in two of his last three games, hitting for 47.25 and 50 DKFP in those ballgames. He’s been really good against Toronto this year, balling out for 5x or better in all three games (58.50, 48.50, 38.25 DKFP). He’s a capable scorer and facilitator who impacts the game so frequently on defense that it makes him a worthwhile start night in and night out.
Value: Dennis Schroder, OKC vs. ORL, $4,800
Schroder’s been on a tear value-wise for the Thunder lately, notching three straight games of 6.5x ROI or better and four straight nights of at least 5.8x value. Schroder’s gone for a minimum of 32 DKFP in each of his last three games, including 33.75 DKFP on January 29th against this same Magic team. His DFS value is primarily derived from his scoring which can run hot and cold, but for a high-volume shooter who can distribute like Schroder, $4,800 is a pretty nifty bargain to roster him at.
Start ‘Em: Ben Simmons, PHI vs. TOR, $8,600
Ah, point guards with small forward eligibility… what a dream it is to be able to start Ben Simmons. The 2019 All-Star is the No. 4 small forward eligible tonight, and had a big 56 DKFP night (6.6x value) against the Raptors at home on December 22nd. Simmons has at least 45 DKFP in two of his last three games, but has been a beast at home. Four of his last five games have seen him go for at least 5.7x value, and the versatile point-forward should be looked upon as an excellent source of value at a modest $8,600 price tag.
Value: Jaylen Brown, BOS @ CLE, $4,900
Brown’s performances have been rather up and down lately, but his ups have provided game-changing value to DFS lineups. The former third overall pick has three nights of 7.5x ROI in his last six games which includes a 7.7x value night against the Cavs on January 23rd. He’s also brought back at least 6.5x and 8.5x value in two of his last three road games. The Cavs are in a race to the bottom and Brown could be in for another solid night against a team he’s torched recently.
Start ‘Em: Kawhi Leonard, TOR @ PHI, $9,300
Rocking positional versatility to play either of the two forward positions, we like Kawhi as our top power forward of the night. At $9,300, he sits only behind LeBron and Paul George ($10,200) as the highest priced PF of the night, and has an excellent match-up ahead of him in Philly. The Sixers give up almost 48 DKFP a night to SF/PFs, good for 10th most in the NBA. The silent assassin is hoping to break a brief cold spell, having failed to go above 3.7x value in his last two games. On the bright side, Kawhi has been awesome on the road of late, going north of 5x ROI in each of his last five games away from home (including a massive 73.75 DKFP night on January 13th). Leonard has put up nights of 54.75 (5.8x) and 62.25 DKFP (6.7x) in his two clashes with Philly, and that track record of success has us ultra-high on Kawhi tonight.
Value: Jonathan Isaac, ORL @ OKC, $5,300
A little on down the list, the No. 16 salaried power forward of the night is Jonathan Isaac, the 2017 NBA Draft’s sixth overall pick. He’s in the midst of perhaps his best run of performances of his young career, having delivered at least 5x value in eight of his last nine games. He comes in on back-to-back games of at least 36 DKFP and 7.6x ROI, having notched double-doubles in both games. He’s a guy who impacts the game in tons of different ways, being able to score, rebound, shoot from deep, and potentially notch multiple steals and blocks each night. At his highest price of the year, we’re comfortable with running with Isaac till he gives us a reason not to.
Start ‘Em: Larry Nance Jr., CLE vs. BOS, $5,800
On a night with tons of DFS studs at the center position available, we’re turning our attention to someone who can provide perhaps the best value of the night in Larry Nance Jr. Sure, All-Stars like Joel Embiid ($10,500), Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,700), Nikola Vucevic ($9,600), and Blake Griffin ($8,800) will be in tons of rosters tonight but Nance has an opportunity to piggyback off of two straight games of at least 33 DKFP and 6x value. With double-doubles in both of his two previous games, Nance has made the most of his mid-to-high 20 minutes of playing time and should expect to get plenty of more run tonight. For a non-bank breaking price, the ultra-athletic Nance has quality value written all over him tonight.
Value: Kelly Olynyk, MIA @ POR, $3,900
Having taken on a much larger role in Erik Spoelstra’s game plan to start February, Kelly Olynyk has been one hell of a value contributor to begin the month. He’s rocking back-to-back games of 35.25 DKFP (9.3x) and 32.75 DKFP (8.6x). He’s delivered at least 14 points, seven boards, two assists and a block in both of those two games, playing at least 31 minutes in both of those games. He’s in his good graces with Coach Spo, and his versatile still of play that allows him to score from all over, board, and distribute makes Olynyk a brilliant value play at under four grand for the Heat tonight in Portland.
Highest Over/Under Totals on Bovada
*Totals accurate as of 11:00 am ET
229 – Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers (8:00 pm ET)
223 – Orlando Magic @ Oklahoma City Thunder (8:00 pm ET)
222 – Los Angeles Clippers @ Charlotte Hornets (7:00 pm ET)
216 – Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers (7:00 pm ET)
212 – Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers (7:00 pm ET)
212 – Miami Heat @ Portland Trail Blazers (10:30 pm ET)
207 – Detroit Pistons @ New York Knicks (7:30 pm ET)
206 – Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies (8:00 pm ET)
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